Polonia WarszawavsSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Polonia Warszawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Warszawa hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Cup, while Polonia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.