Polonia Środavs
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandecja Nowy Sącz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polonia Środa 3-2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Original prediction
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 28.7% | 29.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 26.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.1% | 44.2% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80