GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/10/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Środa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Środa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Noteć Czarnków are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Środa hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Polonia Środa holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Środa

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Polonia Środa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia ŚrodaWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Noteć CzarnkówDDLDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia ŚrodaNoteć Czarnków
65.7Attack59.8
43.1Defence37.3
50.0Form44.1
53.1Power46.4
2.72xG1.84
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