Polonia Środavs
Śląsk Wrocław II
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 10/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polonia Środa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polonia Środa 3-1 Śląsk Wrocław II
Original prediction
Polonia Środa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.0% | 37.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 26.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.1% | 35.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Polonia Środa
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Polonia Środa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20