Polonia Środavs
Gedania Gdansk
SCHEDULEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polonia Środa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Polonia Środa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gedania Gdansk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Środa hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Polonia Środa holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polonia Środa
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
9.0%
Polonia Środa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80