GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Środa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Polonia Środa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gedania Gdansk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Środa hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Polonia Środa holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Środa

Probability

75.4%

Model confidence

9.0%

Polonia Środa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia ŚrodaWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gedania GdanskDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Polonia ŚrodaGedania Gdansk
65.7Attack42.2
43.1Defence21.6
50.0Form33.3
53.1Power34.5
3.52xG1.26
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