GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stal Brzeg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Polonia Nysa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Stal Brzeg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stal Brzeg hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the III Liga - Group 3, while Stal Brzeg holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stal Brzeg

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

10.5%

Stal Brzeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia NysaDLWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Stal BrzegWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Polonia NysaStal Brzeg
33.3Attack100.0
16.7Defence66.7
16.7Form66.7
26.2Power74.3
1.25xG2.06
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