Polonia Nysavs
Miedź Legnica II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miedź Legnica II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polonia Nysa 1-2 Miedź Legnica II
Original prediction
Miedź Legnica II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.0% | 26.1% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.8% | 23.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.2% | 50.2% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Miedź Legnica II
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Miedź Legnica II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80