Polonia Nysavs
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Polonia Nysa 0-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Polonia Nysa 2-2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Original prediction
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.3% | 18.9% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 24.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.6% | 57.0% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.3 pts
Projected Score
Polonia Nysa 0–1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00