GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/29/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigry Suwałki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Wigry Suwałki are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigry Suwałki hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wigry Suwałki holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigry Suwałki

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.DWLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wigry SuwałkiLWDDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Wigry Suwałki
45.1Attack45.1
41.2Defence62.7
40.2Form47.1
44.2Power52.8
1.07xG1.51
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