GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/30/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.DDDWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Warta SieradzDWDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Warta Sieradz
45.1Attack42.2
41.2Defence52.9
40.2Form43.1
44.2Power47.4
1.37xG1.39
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