GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 6/7/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

62.9%

Model confidence

62.9%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.WLLWD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Unia SkierniewiceDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Unia Skierniewice
45.1Attack76.5
41.2Defence54.9
40.2Form63.7
44.2Power63.6
1.25xG2.65
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