GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/12/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Swit are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.2 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swit

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.LDDLD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SwitWWLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Swit
45.1Attack0.0
41.2Defence100.0
40.2Form33.3
44.2Power45.3
1.45xG1.60
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