GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/7/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sokół Aleksandrów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 25.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.DLDWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sokół AleksandrówLLDWD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Sokół Aleksandrów
45.1Attack25.5
41.2Defence29.4
40.2Form11.8
44.2Power25.7
2.20xG0.87
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