GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/4/2025, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.WDDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Pelikan ŁowiczDWWLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Pelikan Łowicz
45.1Attack51.0
41.2Defence60.8
40.2Form51.0
44.2Power53.7
1.12xG1.71
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