GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/8/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Łomża are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.LWLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ŁomżaWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Łomża
45.1Attack66.7
41.2Defence0.0
40.2Form0.0
44.2Power23.7
1.73xG1.61
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