Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWDL), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
11.6%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50