GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/25/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.2 against 43.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.DWDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mławianka MławaLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Mławianka Mława
45.1Attack39.2
41.2Defence50.0
40.2Form38.2
44.2Power43.7
1.48xG1.28
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