Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/24/2025, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia II
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20