GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/17/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broń Radom · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Broń Radom are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Broń Radom holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broń Radom

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Broń Radom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.DWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Broń RadomDDLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Broń Radom
45.1Attack38.2
41.2Defence57.8
40.2Form47.1
44.2Power49.1
1.22xG1.27
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