GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/20/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.LDDLD

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Bełchatów
45.1Attack56.9
41.2Defence52.0
40.2Form54.9
44.2Power54.7
1.37xG1.92
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