Polonia Bytomvs
Ruch Chorzów
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polonia Bytom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polonia Bytom 0-0 Ruch Chorzów
Original prediction
Polonia Bytom
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.9% | 42.5% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 25.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.9% | 31.7% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Polonia Bytom
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Polonia Bytom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20