Polonia Bytomvs
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 8/22/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polonia Bytom 2-2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Original prediction
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Polonia BytomLDLWW
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiDWWWL
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Polonia BytomPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
77.8Attack55.6
22.2Defence100.0
44.4Form100.0
51.1Power87.0
1.40xG1.79