Polonia Bytomvs
Podbeskidzie
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polonia Bytom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polonia Bytom 0-0 Podbeskidzie
Original prediction
Polonia Bytom
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.1% | 41.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 25.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.2% | 33.4% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Polonia Bytom
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Polonia Bytom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80