Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202613:00Updated today
Polonia Bytom

Polonia Bytom

Home
vs
13:00
Śląsk Wrocław II

Śląsk Wrocław II

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Polonia Bytom40%
Draw35%
Śląsk Wrocław II25%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Polonia Bytom
40%
Draw
35%
Śląsk Wrocław II
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.56 xG for Polonia Bytom and 1.16 xG for Śląsk Wrocław II — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.41), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.72 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Śląsk Wrocław II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Śląsk Wrocław II)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Śląsk Wrocław IIŚląsk Wrocław II
D

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Polonia Bytom40%
Draw35%
Śląsk Wrocław II25%

Polonia Bytom leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Polonia Bytom Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Polonia Bytom take on Śląsk Wrocław II in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.56 for Polonia Bytom and 1.16 for Śląsk Wrocław II. The gap of 0.41 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Polonia Bytom have been conceding 2.39 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Śląsk Wrocław II

Śląsk Wrocław II

D
@ Świt Skolwin
17 May 2026
33

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Śląsk Wrocław II?

GoalVio's model predicts Polonia Bytom to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Polonia Bytom vs Śląsk Wrocław II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Polonia Bytom vs Śląsk Wrocław II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Polonia Bytom vs Śląsk Wrocław II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more