Polonia Bytomvs
Chrobry Głogów
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polonia Bytom · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów
Original prediction
Polonia Bytom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.4% | 43.0% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 25.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.5% | 31.4% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Polonia Bytom
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Polonia Bytom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00