Polokwane Cityvs
Kaizer Chiefs
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaizer Chiefs · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polokwane City 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs
Original prediction
Kaizer Chiefs
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.94 | 23.1% | 27.2% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.3% | 27.4% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.6% | 45.4% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Kaizer Chiefs
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Kaizer Chiefs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20