GGOALVIO

South-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/19/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Amazulu · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Polokwane City 0-1 Amazulu

Original prediction

Amazulu

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0829.6%31.3%1.7 pts
Draw2.7233.5%29.0%-4.5 pts
Away2.4736.9%39.7%2.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Amazulu

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Amazulu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polokwane CityDDDLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AmazuluWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Polokwane CityAmazulu
44.4Attack50.0
50.0Defence61.1
38.9Form72.2
47.4Power63.5
1.05xG1.26
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