Polokwane City U23vs
Golden Arrows U23
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Diski Challenge · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polokwane City U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polokwane City U23 2-3 Golden Arrows U23
Original prediction
Polokwane City U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 28.2% | 37.3% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 28.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.3% | 34.4% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Polokwane City U23
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Polokwane City U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00