Polokwane City U23vs
AmaZulu U23
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Diski Challenge · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AmaZulu U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polokwane City U23 2-1 AmaZulu U23
Original prediction
AmaZulu U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 30.9% | 28.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 26.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.3% | 44.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
AmaZulu U23
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
AmaZulu U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40