Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pollok · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Pollok are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Beith are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pollok hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Football League - Lowland League, while Pollok holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pollok
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
8.5%
Pollok has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 2.25/2.25