Super LigaSuper Liga
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:37
Politehnica UTM

Politehnica UTM

Home
W
02
Full time
Zimbru

Zimbru

Away
L
Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Politehnica UTM(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Politehnica UTM
39%
Draw
25%
Zimbru
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Politehnica UTM
73
Zimbru
73
Defence
Politehnica UTM
66
Zimbru
1
Momentum
Politehnica UTM
100
Zimbru
0
Danger (xG)
Politehnica UTM
1.80
Zimbru
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Politehnica UTM)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Zimbru)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Politehnica UTM)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Zimbru)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM
WL
ZimbruZimbru
LDW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Politehnica UTM39%
Draw25%
Zimbru36%

Politehnica UTM leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Politehnica UTM head into this in Super Liga fixture at Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM in mixed form (W), while Zimbru arrive in mixed form (L). Politehnica UTM have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Zimbru over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Politehnica UTM (73/100) and Zimbru (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Politehnica UTM have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Zimbru have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Politehnica UTM and Zimbru in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Politehnica UTM to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Politehnica UTM 3868%, Draw 2515%, Zimbru 3617%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Politehnica UTM

Politehnica UTM

W
@ Sireți
11 Jul 2026
21
L
@ CSF Bălți
27 Jun 2026
03
Zimbru

Zimbru

L
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
12 Jul 2026
24
D
@ Milsami Orhei
27 Jun 2026
00
W
@ Milsami Orhei
13 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru?

GoalVio's model predicts Politehnica UTM to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more