GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Politehnica UTM · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Politehnica UTM 0-0 Sireți

Original prediction

Politehnica UTM

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7252.4%56.9%4.5 pts
Draw3.6424.8%22.6%-2.3 pts
Away3.9722.8%20.5%-2.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Politehnica UTM

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Politehnica UTM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Politehnica UTMLWDLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SirețiDDDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Politehnica UTMSireți
55.6Attack22.2
44.4Defence51.9
40.7Form22.2
45.1Power35.0
1.83xG0.94
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