Politehnica UTMvs
Petrocub
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrocub · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Politehnica UTM 0-1 Petrocub
Original prediction
Petrocub
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.06 | 22.1% | 22.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.8% | 22.0% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.0% | 55.0% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Petrocub
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Petrocub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20