GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Politehnica UTM · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Politehnica UTM are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Milsami Orhei are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Politehnica UTM hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Super Liga, while Politehnica UTM holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Politehnica UTM

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Politehnica UTM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Politehnica UTMLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Milsami OrheiDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Politehnica UTMMilsami Orhei
42.9Attack23.8
47.6Defence52.4
38.1Form33.3
43.5Power38.7
1.50xG1.04
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