Politehnica UTMvs
Dacia-Buiucani
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Politehnica UTM · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Politehnica UTM 2-1 Dacia-Buiucani
Original prediction
Politehnica UTM
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.1% | 45.3% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.6% | 24.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.2% | 29.8% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Politehnica UTM
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Politehnica UTM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20