Polisi Tanzaniavs
Pamba Jiji
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polisi Tanzania · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polisi Tanzania 1-1 Pamba Jiji
Original prediction
Polisi Tanzania
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.1% | 53.7% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.4% | 24.7% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.5% | 21.5% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Polisi Tanzania
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Polisi Tanzania has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80