Polisi Tanzaniavs
Mbeya City
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mbeya City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polisi Tanzania 2-0 Mbeya City
Original prediction
Mbeya City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.6% | 33.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.4% | 29.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.0% | 36.5% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Mbeya City
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Mbeya City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40