Police Terovs
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Police Tero · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Original prediction
Police Tero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.7% | 38.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 29.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.6% | 31.5% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Police Tero
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Police Tero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80