GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 2 · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Police Tero · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Police Tero 0-0 Kasetsart FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Police Tero 5-3 Kasetsart FC

Original prediction

Police Tero

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9146.9%44.9%-2.0 pts
Draw3.1928.2%28.8%0.7 pts
Away3.6024.9%26.3%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.0 pts

Projected Score

Police Tero 0–0 Kasetsart FC

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Police Tero

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Police Tero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Police TeroLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Kasetsart FCWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Police TeroKasetsart FC
27.8Attack16.7
61.1Defence50.0
38.9Form22.2
43.8Power32.5
1.17xG0.78
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