GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 1 · 8/26/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Police Tero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Police Tero are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Chonburi FC are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chonburi FC hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Thai League 1, while Police Tero holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Police Tero

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Police Tero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Police TeroLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Chonburi FCDDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Police TeroChonburi FC
42.2Attack36.7
25.6Defence42.2
31.1Form33.3
35.8Power39.4
1.56xG1.51
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