Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Polessya

Polessya

Home
LL
13
Full time
Shimizu S-pulse

Shimizu S-pulse

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Polessya36%
Draw35%
Shimizu S-pulse29%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Shimizu S-pulse
Win probability
Polessya
36%
Draw
35%
Shimizu S-pulse
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Polessya
18
Shimizu S-pulse
94
Defence
Polessya
14
Shimizu S-pulse
66
Momentum
Polessya
0
Shimizu S-pulse
100
Danger (xG)
Polessya
0.45
Shimizu S-pulse
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Polessya)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Shimizu S-pulse)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Polessya)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Shimizu S-pulse)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PolessyaPolessya
LLLL
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
WL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Polessya36%
Draw35%
Shimizu S-pulse29%

Polessya leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Polessya head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (LL), while Shimizu S-pulse arrive in mixed form (W). Polessya have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Shimizu S-pulse over 1 games.

Tactically, Shimizu S-pulse hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Polessya defence (14/100), while Polessya's attack faces a solid Shimizu S-pulse backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Polessya have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Shimizu S-pulse have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Shimizu S-pulse have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Polessya to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Polessya 3602%, Draw 3500%, Shimizu S-pulse 2898%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Polessya 0Draws 01 Shimizu S-pulse
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Polessya
L13
Shimizu S-pulse

Recent form

Polessya

Polessya

L
@ Plzen
14 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Shimizu S-pulse
14 Jul 2026
13
L
@ Universitatea Craiova
29 Jun 2026
34
L
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
12 May 2026
23
Shimizu S-pulse

Shimizu S-pulse

W
@ Polessya
14 Jul 2026
31
L
@ Fagiano Okayama
17 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Polessya vs Shimizu S-pulse?

GoalVio's model predicts Polessya to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Polessya vs Shimizu S-pulse?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Polessya vs Shimizu S-pulse?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Polessya vs Shimizu S-pulse?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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