Polessyavs
Obolon'-Brovar
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Polessya 1-0 Obolon'-Brovar, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Polessya 3-0 Obolon'-Brovar
Original prediction
Polessya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 77.2% | 69.8% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.75 | 16.1% | 20.0% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 13.71 | 6.7% | 10.3% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Projected Score
Polessya 1–0 Obolon'-Brovar
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PolessyaWDWWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Obolon'-BrovarWWDLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PolessyaObolon'-Brovar
63.0Attack11.1
77.8Defence59.3
81.5Form29.6
75.1Power35.5
1.82xG0.35