Polessyavs
Livyi Bereh
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polessya 1-0 Livyi Bereh
Original prediction
Polessya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.8% | 46.6% | -18.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 22.0% | 27.7% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 7.00 | 13.2% | 25.7% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80