Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polessya 5-1 Kudrivka
Original prediction
Polessya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 75.7% | 44.0% | -31.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.51 | 16.6% | 26.5% | 9.8 pts |
| Away | 11.94 | 7.7% | 29.6% | 21.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PolessyaWLWLD
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KudrivkaLWDDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PolessyaKudrivka
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power53.0
1.07xG1.19