Polessyavs
Kryvbas KR
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polessya 1-0 Kryvbas KR
Original prediction
Polessya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 71.0% | 39.6% | -31.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 18.0% | 25.5% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 8.34 | 10.9% | 34.9% | 23.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80