Polessyavs
Dynamo Kyiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Polessya 1-0 Dynamo Kyiv, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Polessya 3-1 Dynamo Kyiv
Original prediction
Polessya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.3% | 47.7% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.0% | 27.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.8% | 24.4% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Polessya 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PolessyaDWWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dynamo KyivWWWWD
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PolessyaDynamo Kyiv
66.7Attack47.6
79.2Defence76.2
87.5Form76.2
78.8Power67.9
1.27xG0.72