Polessyavs
Derry City
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Polessya are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Derry City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Polessya holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60