Polemidionvs
Akritas
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akritas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polemidion 0-2 Akritas
Original prediction
Akritas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.94 | 23.1% | 31.3% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 29.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.1% | 39.6% | -12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Akritas
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Akritas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PolemidionLLLW
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.25/2.00
BTTS 0/4O2.5 2/4
AkritasDLLDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PolemidionAkritas
8.3Attack16.7
33.3Defence58.3
25.0Form16.7
26.6Power33.8
1.13xG1.19