3. liga - MSFL3. liga - MSFL
Sunday, 2 August 202616:00Updated today
Polanka nad Odrou

Polanka nad Odrou

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L
vs
16:00
Líšeň II

Líšeň II

Away
D
Stadium Polanka nad Odrou
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
Líšeň II(54%)
Most likely exact score0-2
Win probability
Polanka nad Odrou
21%
Draw
26%
Líšeň II
54%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Polanka nad Odrou
9
Líšeň II
9
Defence
Polanka nad Odrou
27
Líšeň II
91
Momentum
Polanka nad Odrou
0
Líšeň II
33
Danger (xG)
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Líšeň II
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 0.98 xG for Polanka nad Odrou and 2.30 xG for Líšeň II. Polanka nad Odrou's projected xG of 0.98 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-2 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. The xG distribution suggests Líšeň II will score, but Polanka nad Odrou's attacking output falls below the threshold the model requires to project both teams scoring.Líšeň II's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (9). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.28 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-2 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Polanka nad Odrou's Defensive Stability (27) and Líšeň II's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Polanka nad Odrou)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Líšeň II)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Polanka nad Odrou)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Líšeň II)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Polanka nad OdrouPolanka nad Odrou
LL
Líšeň IILíšeň II
D

Probability breakdown

54% confidence
Polanka nad Odrou21%
Draw26%
Líšeň II54%

Líšeň II leads with 54% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Líšeň II Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-2

Polanka nad Odrou host Líšeň II in 3. liga - MSFL. Polanka nad Odrou have recorded LLLWLD in recent matches while Líšeň II arrive with a run of WWWWDW.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.30 expected goals for Líšeň II against 0.98 for Polanka nad Odrou — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Líšeň II have kept 5 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form Líšeň II arrive in better recent form — 5 wins from 10 matches (WWWWDW) against Polanka nad Odrou's 1. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Líšeň II are generating a dominant xG advantage — 2.30 projected against 0.98 for Polanka nad Odrou. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.32 is the clearest signal in the model that Líšeň II are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Líšeň II are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Polanka nad Odrou

Polanka nad Odrou

L
vs Zlín II
10 Jun 2026
02
L
vs Hodonín
17 May 2026
34
Líšeň II

Líšeň II

D
@ Sparta Brno
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Polanka nad Odrou vs Líšeň II?

GoalVio's model predicts Líšeň II to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Polanka nad Odrou vs Líšeň II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-2.

Will both teams score in Polanka nad Odrou vs Líšeň II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Polanka nad Odrou vs Líšeň II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more