Polanka nad Odrouvs
Frýdek-Místek
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 9/27/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frýdek-Místek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Polanka nad Odrou 1-0 Frýdek-Místek
Original prediction
Frýdek-Místek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.87 | 15.3% | 30.4% | 15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.5% | 26.5% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.3% | 43.0% | -19.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Frýdek-Místek
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Frýdek-Místek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40